Drought holds steady in the state, with 24% under drought conditions (D1–D4). El Niño has a 75% chance of extending through the March-April-May season, with La Niña favored in June-July-August and at least October-November-December. Drought is expected to remain and expand in West and Far West Texas and improve in the Hill Country.
Category: outlook+water
outlook+water: Drought conditions persist, a La Niña Watch, and drought expansion in the South
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) remained the same as four weeks ago at 23%. El Niño has a 100% chance of extending through the February-March-April season, giving way to neutral conditions in April-May-June and greater odds of La Niña developing in the summer. Drought is expected to expand across the Edwards Plateau and down the Rio Grande Valley
outlook+water: Big improvements in drought east of I-35, El Niño on the way out (and La Niña in the fall), and last year was the warmest on record
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from five weeks ago at 39% to 23% this week, with drought improvements across much of the state. El Niño conditions have a 90% chance of extending through the February-March-April season, giving way to neutral conditions in April-May-June and greater odds of La Niña conditions in the fall. Last year was the warmest on record for Texas, a full 3.5 F warmer than the long-term average.
outlook+water: Drought improvements continue, drought blazes in Central and Far West Texas, and El Niño may end early
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from four weeks ago at 44% to 39% this week. Extreme-to-exceptional drought in Far West, Central, and Southeast Texas continues to blaze with drought and is expected to continue in Far West and Central Texas over the next three months. El Niño conditions are expected to persist through the March-April-May season.
outlook+water: Drought nearly halved, El Niño through (maybe) may, less than a one in three chance of drought ending by the end of May
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from four weeks ago at 75% to 44% this week. El Niño conditions are expected to persist through the March-April-May season. By one measure, the odds of drought ending in the state by the end of May range from 8% to 32%.