Category: outlook+water

Summary: 75% of the state is abnormally dry or worse, and 52% of the state is in drought, equal chances for La Niña or neutral conditions for the January-March season and a 71% chance of neutral conditions for the February-April season, and reservoir storage is still 10% below normal, but it’s been creeping up.

Summary: 87% of the state is abnormally dry or worse, and 63% of the state is in drought, 76% chance of La Niña conditions remaining December–February with a 57% chance of neutral conditions arriving in February–April, and warmer and drier than normal conditions are projected for most of Texas for December-January-February.

Summary: The rain spigot slammed shut except for parts of West Texas and the Lower Rio Grande Valley, there’s a 75% chance of La Niña conditions remaining through November-February, and NOAA’s Winter Outlook projects warmer and drier than normal conditions for Texas (but a persimmon in Johnson City projects snow).

Summary: The amount of the state under drought decreased from 94.8% four weeks ago to 60.1% today, 91% chance of hot and dry La Niña conditions to continue through November, and the Atlantic is churning with tropical storms.

Summary: 97.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse (slightly better than last month) with 26% in Exceptional drought (worse than last month); July was the warmest July in Texas since 1895, beating 2011’s July by 0.3 degrees Fahrenheit; there’s an 80% chance of remaining in La Niña conditions through December and a 60% chance of neutral conditions arriving in the spring.