outlook+water: Big improvements in drought east of I-35, El Niño on the way out (and La Niña in the fall), and last year was the warmest on record

Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from five weeks ago at 39% to 23% this week, with drought improvements across much of the state. El Niño conditions have a 90% chance of extending through the February-March-April season, giving way to neutral conditions in April-May-June and greater odds of La Niña conditions in the fall. Last year was the warmest on record for Texas, a full 3.5 F warmer than the long-term average.

think+water: Boil water notices during Uri, predicting water levels with neuro-fuzzies, and produced water for agriculture

This month, Dr. Robert E. Mace explores academic publications on the topics of examining the effectiveness of boil water notices as heath-risk communications, forecasting aquifer water levels in wells in Texas and Florida using an ensemble coactive neuro-fuzzy inference system, and analyzing the potential for using produced water from the Anadarko Basin as a resource for agricultural production.

outlook+water: Drought improvements continue, drought blazes in Central and Far West Texas, and El Niño may end early

Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from four weeks ago at 44% to 39% this week. Extreme-to-exceptional drought in Far West, Central, and Southeast Texas continues to blaze with drought and is expected to continue in Far West and Central Texas over the next three months. El Niño conditions are expected to persist through the March-April-May season.