Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from four weeks ago at 75% to 44% this week. El Niño conditions are expected to persist through the March-April-May season. By one measure, the odds of drought ending in the state by the end of May range from 8% to 32%.
Category: outlook+water
outlook+water: Short-term improvements, drought expected to linger, and winter is coming
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased from four weeks ago at 81% to 75% this week (with more improvements on the way).The winter projection shows normal temperatures and wetter-than-normal conditions for Texas, but drought conditions are expected to persist.
outlook+water: Drought remains, wetter-than-normal conditions may be on the way, and the odds of a super El Niño
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) increased slightly from five weeks ago at 79% to 81% this week, the seasonal projection suggests wetter-than-normal conditions are on the way, and the odds of a Super El Niño look slim, but the odds of a strong El Nino are at 71%.
outlook+water: The drought deepens, drought is expected to get worse, high temps to continue
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions increased considerably from 43% four weeks ago to 79% this week, drought is expected to remain over the next three months, and we need a LOT of rain to come out of the drought.
outlook+water: Drought expands, drought is expected to get worse, high temps to continue
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions increased considerably from 23% four weeks ago to 43% this week; drought is expected to expand in Texas and the southwest, and higher-than-normal temperatures are expected to continue over the next three months.