Drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased to 53% of the state from 68% of the state four weeks ago; statewide reservoir storage increased to 77% full up from 76% four weeks ago and about 8 percentage points below normal for this time of year. La Niña has transitioned to neutral conditions, which are favored through October (with a hint of La Niña this winter). Drought is expected to improve over the next three months except in Far West Texas. Is an Atlantic Niña fixin’ to form?
Category: outlook+water
outlook+water: La Niña persists, drought expands, and the next three months favor hot and dry
Early projections suggest an active Atlantic hurricane season. Those epic rains in the valley did nothing for the Rio Grande reservoirs. Drought conditions (D1–D4) increased to 68% of the state from 49% of the state four weeks ago; statewide reservoir storage stayed the same at 76% full, about 8 percentage points below normal for this time of year. We remain in La Niña conditions with a 62% chance of a return of neutral conditions in the June-July-August season. Drought is expected to remain and expand over the next three months leaving only the easternmost part of the state drought-free.
outlook+water: La Niña is here, drought about the same, next three months favor hot and dry
Drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased slightly to 42% of the state from 44% four weeks ago; statewide reservoir storage increased slightly to 75% full, about 5 percentage points below normal for this time of year. La Niña is here, with a 60% chance of a return to neutral conditions by May. Drought is expected to remain and expand in the southern half of the state.
outlook+water: La Niña is here, drought about the same, next three months favor hot and dry
Drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased slightly to 42% of the state from 44% four weeks ago; statewide reservoir storage increased slightly to 75% full, about 5 percentage points below normal for this time of year. La Niña is here, with a 60% chance of a return to neutral conditions by May. Drought is expected to remain and expand in the southern half of the state.
outlook+water: Drought decreases and storage increases, but the year is not starting off good
Drought conditions (D1–D4) decreased to 44% of the state from 74% eight weeks ago; statewide reservoir storage increased to 74% full, about 7 percentage points below normal for this time of year. La Nada is still here, with a 70% chance of La Niña arriving before April. Drought is expected to remain and develop across nearly the entire state over the next three months.