outlook+water: September 2019

SUMMARY: Imelda was the fifth wettest tropical storm to hit the continental United States. August was the second warmest on record and the warmest since 2011. The state went from 22 percent in drought a month ago to 52 percent today with 72 percent of the state either in drought or abnormally dry. The big water news this month is Imelda, who started as an upper-level low on September 14 west of Florida. By September 17,

outlook+water: August 2019

SUMMARY: Much of the state saw less than normal rainfall over the past month. The state went from less than 7% either abnormally dry or in drought on July 16 to more than 72% on August 20. Statewide reservoir storage remains above normal. El Niño has fizzled with La Nada conditions projected through the winter. The drought is expected to persist across the state and expand in South Texas. At the end of July, I

outlook+water: July 2019

SUMMARY: Four of the last eight years have been warmer than the Dust Bowl. The rains appear to have stopped for much of the state. Storage in Elephant Butte Reservoir is the highest it’s been since June 2010. El Niño is expected to fizzle into La Nada over the next two months with La Nada conditions projected through the winter. The drought in South Texas and the Lower Rio Grande is expected to persist and

outlook+water: June 2019

SUMMARY: Above-normal rainfall continues to fall for much of the state. H. Ivie and E.V. Spence are at their highest reservoir levels since the late 1990s. However, drought is peeking back into South Texas. The odds of El Niño staying with us through the summer have decreased slightly to 66 percent with a 50 to 55 percent chance of conditions remaining through the fall and winter. The Atlantic hurricane season has been upgraded to normal

outlook+water: May 2019

SUMMARY: Large parts of East and Central Texas received more than 10 inches of rain over the past month. Recent rains have erased drought from the Texas landscape. The odds of El Niño staying with us through the summer have increased to 70 percent. After drought peeked in the window and knocked on the door for several months, in swooped weekly fronts across the state over the past four weeks, topping off reservoirs, flooding rivers,