Category: outlook+water

Summary: 97.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse (slightly better than last month) with 26% in Exceptional drought (worse than last month); July was the warmest July in Texas since 1895, beating 2011’s July by 0.3 degrees Fahrenheit; there’s an 80% chance of remaining in La Niña conditions through December and a 60% chance of neutral conditions arriving in the spring.

Summary: 99.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse with 20.4% in exceptional drought, the worst drought category; June clocked in as the fifth warmest June in Texas since 1895; and, there’s a 60% chance of remaining in La Niña conditions through July–September and a 62%–66% chance through fall and early winter.

Summary: 93% of the state is abnormally dry or worse with 17% in Exceptional drought, the worst drought category. La Niña conditions are getting stronger with the fall and early winter favoring a continued La Niña advisory, which would make it only the second three-year La Nina since 1950. That was the second hottest May in Texas since 1895.

Summary: 29% of the state is in exceptional drought, the worst drought category. La Niña conditions are getting stronger with the fall and early winter favoring a continued La Niña advisory. The Climate Prediction Center projects 14 to 21 named storms, of which 6 to 10 might become hurricanes.

88% of the state is in drought with 14% of the state under exceptional drought conditions. La Niña is expected to continue through summer and, possibly, into the fall. Colorado State University predicts 19 named tropical storms (1991-2020 average = 14.4) with nine hurricanes (average = 7.2) and four major hurricanes (average = 3.2).