Summary: The rain spigot slammed shut except for parts of West Texas and the Lower Rio Grande Valley, there’s a 75% chance of La Niña conditions remaining through November-February, and NOAA’s Winter Outlook projects warmer and drier than normal conditions for Texas (but a persimmon in Johnson City projects snow).
Category: outlook+water
outlook+water: Major drought improvements, drought expected to return, here comes the tropical season
Summary: The amount of the state under drought decreased from 94.8% four weeks ago to 60.1% today, 91% chance of hot and dry La Niña conditions to continue through November, and the Atlantic is churning with tropical storms.
outlook+water: 97.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse, July was the warmest July on record, and La Niña has an 80% chance of hanging out through December
Summary: 97.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse (slightly better than last month) with 26% in Exceptional drought (worse than last month); July was the warmest July in Texas since 1895, beating 2011’s July by 0.3 degrees Fahrenheit; there’s an 80% chance of remaining in La Niña conditions through December and a 60% chance of neutral conditions arriving in the spring.
outlook+water: 99.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse, June was the fifth warmest June on record, and La Niña is still on the menu for the fall
Summary: 99.2% of the state is abnormally dry or worse with 20.4% in exceptional drought, the worst drought category; June clocked in as the fifth warmest June in Texas since 1895; and, there’s a 60% chance of remaining in La Niña conditions through July–September and a 62%–66% chance through fall and early winter.
outlook+water: 93% of the state is abnormally dry or worse, a potential third-year La Niña, May was dang hot
Summary: 93% of the state is abnormally dry or worse with 17% in Exceptional drought, the worst drought category. La Niña conditions are getting stronger with the fall and early winter favoring a continued La Niña advisory, which would make it only the second three-year La Nina since 1950. That was the second hottest May in Texas since 1895.