Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions (D1–D4) increased slightly from five weeks ago at 79% to 81% this week, the seasonal projection suggests wetter-than-normal conditions are on the way, and the odds of a Super El Niño look slim, but the odds of a strong El Nino are at 71%.
Category: outlook+water
outlook+water: The drought deepens, drought is expected to get worse, high temps to continue
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions increased considerably from 43% four weeks ago to 79% this week, drought is expected to remain over the next three months, and we need a LOT of rain to come out of the drought.
outlook+water: Drought expands, drought is expected to get worse, high temps to continue
Summary: The amount of the state under drought conditions increased considerably from 23% four weeks ago to 43% this week; drought is expected to expand in Texas and the southwest, and higher-than-normal temperatures are expected to continue over the next three months.
outlook+water: El Niño is here, drought is down, reservoirs are (slightly) up
Summary: • El Niño is here and is expected to stay with us through the year.
• Less than a quarter of the state remains in drought. Reservoirs are now 77.2% full but still 7 to 8% below normal.
outlook+water: Drought down (but not out), El Niño almost certain this summer, warmer-than-normal temps and near-normal rainfall expected
Summary: Drought down (but not out), with 61% of the state abnormally dry or worse. The Climate Prediction Center’s El Niño Watch continues with a 90% chance of El Niño conditions forming during May-June-July. Warmer-than-normal conditions are expected for the entire state, with normal rainfall for everyone except Far West Texas, where drier-than-normal conditions are expected.